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SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI: Best odds for the LEC Summer Split

Naerlyn Published August 20, 2026
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LEC Summer Split SK vs MKOI prediction: Movistar KOI

SK Gaming and Movistar KOI are two teams that have had erratic performances in the LEC 2026 Summer Split. SK is showing unprecedented signs of life, while MKOI is struggling.

With either team looking like they could belong anywhere between fourth and eighth place, this match is actually crucial for their LEC Summer playoff chances.

MatchSK Gaming vs Movistar KOI – LEC 2026 Summer Split
Start timeAugust 22, 2026, at 7:15pm CEST / 1:15pm ET
Top pickMovistar KOI to win, in under 2.5 games
Best priceGG.BET live odds
Betting favoriteMovistar KOI

SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI match overview

Betting tips: Most of MKOI’s struggles came from Week 1, and they’ve been better again since then. As for SK, their strength might have shown its peaks, and it shouldn’t be enough to beat MKOI.

My SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI pick: Under 2.5 games at 1.65 odds at GG.Bet

SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI match analysis

This match is among the most important both teams to win at this point. Currently, they have their playoff fate in their hands, but that might stop being the case if they lose.

In order to make the LEC Summer playoffs, a team has to finish the regular season in the top six, which requires either four or five wins. For MKOI, the one situation where they need five wins requires:

  • Team Vitality to win against Shifters and lose against Fnatic and Natus Vincere
  • Natus Vincere to win against Team Vitality and exactly one of GiantX or Fnatic
  • The one of GiantX and Fnatic who lost to NAVI to win against the other
  • GiantX to win against G2 Esports and Team Heretics
  • Fnatic to win against Shifters and Vitality
Match resultLikelihood
NAVI > VITLow
FNC > SHFTHigh
GX > THHigh
NAVI > FNC, TH > NAVI and FNC > TH
Or NAVI > TH, FNC > NAVI and TH > FNC
Very low
GX > G2Low
FNC > VITMedium
VIT > SHFTVery high

If all of these happen, then MKOI needs to win both of their matches. Otherwise, winning a single one is enough – either that one or Team Heretics next week.

As for SK Gaming, the road gets even trickier. Sitting at 2-4 with three matches left to play, they’re also up against a top three candidate. If they lose and MKOI beats TH, they’re practically out. On the other hand, if they beat MKOI, they might be able to qualify while losing one of their upcoming matches – and they’ve still got Karmine Corp left to play.

SK is a team of playmakers, trying to win by outplaying. Sometimes, it works. However, they regularly lose by either lacking the macro beyond it or simply getting outplayed themselves by better players. Unfortunately, MKOI will gladly welcome them at their own game and win on that front.

LEC Summer Split SK vs MKOI prediction: SK Gaming

SK vs MKOI is the do-or-die match for SK Gaming. Image credit: Michał Konkol / Riot Games

SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI betting odds snapshot

MarketOdds
SK Gaming to win3.37
Movistar KOI to win1.29
Over 2.5 games2.12
Under 2.5 games1.65

Odds courtesy of GG.BET, on August 18, 11pm CEST.   

SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI betting picks and predictions

MKOI relentlessly goes for aggression and dives and sometimes falls on their own sword with fatal mistakes. Against SK though, they should simply outskill them and leave them no room to punish their potential flaws.

Best picks

  • Total games under 2.5: MKOI still has what formerly made them be a top three team, and SK lacks the consistency to face it.

SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI prediction

Our SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI esports betting prediction: MKOI as the match winner 2-0 @1.29 odds at GG.BET.

Featured image credit: Sasha Safronova / Riot Games

Naerlyn
Muck Rack
About Naerlyn
Naerlyn is an all-around League of Legends nerd, who can get passionate about just anything related to the game, and loves sharing that excitement with anyone and everyone in the community. Just… don’t ask him about top lane Leona if you had plans for the next hour.
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