Vitality vs The MongolZ: IEM Melbourne betting odds, tips

Luke Warr Published April 25, 2025

Team Vitality is a buzzsaw right now, so is there any reason to consider betting on The MongolZ at IEM Melbourne?

There haven’t been too many big upsets in IEM Melbourne so far. Team Falcons looked strong and GamerLegion continued its run of strong placements, but that’s nothing compared to other recent events. A big part of that is how Team Vitality has been stomping all comers.

The newly crowned top team in Counter-Strike hasn’t been making any mistakes and has continued dominating in Australia. So should you entertain the idea of betting on The MongolZ?

Team Vitality vs The MongolZ match overview

Team Vitality and The MongolZ will play in the semifinals of IEM Melbourne’s playoffs on April 26, 2025. The winner of this best-of-three match heads to the event’s grand finals, while the loser takes home a $25,000 third-place prize.

Team Vitality vs The MongolZ in-depth team analysis

Team Vitality roster and recent results

Vitality has been lights out in 2025 and that hasn’t stopped in IEM Melbourne. The team is looking to cap a 20-match winning streak with this match against The MongolZ, which started in IEM Katowice 2025.

The Vitality roster is in attendance for IEM Melbourne:

• Dan “apEX” Madesclaire
• Robin “ropz” Kool
• Mathieu “ZywOo” Herbaut
• Shahar “flameZ” Shushan
• William “mezii” Merriman

Team Vitality map pool

Team Vitality has been very, very good in 2025 and that’s shown in its map results. It has won at least two-thirds of its games on every map that it plays on, with the highlight being an 11-0 run on Inferno and 9-1 record on Dust 2. Vitality does refuse to play on Ancient, however.

The MongolZ roster and recent results

The MongolZ stumbled in PGL Bucharest but returned to form in IEM Melbourne. The team beat Complexity Gaming and FaZe Clan to earn a spot in the quarterfinals, but lost to MOUZ to fall short of the semifinals. It earned its spot there by taking a 2-1 win over Team Liquid.

The team’s longstanding roster has been competing in IEM Melbourne:

• Garidmagnai “bLitz” Byambasuren
• Sodbayar “Techno4K” Munkhbold
• Usukhbayar “910” Banzragch
• Ayush “mzinho” Batbold
• Azbayar “Senzu” Munkhbold

The MongolZ map pool

The MongolZ bans Train and has a strong winrate on almost every other map, including a 9-3 run on Inferno over the last six months. The one exception is Nuke, where it’s 3-5.

Team Vitality vs The MongolZ head-to-head record

The MongolZ and Team Vitality have played twice so far in 2025, both of which were Vitality victories. The first was a 2-0 in IEM Katowice 2025, which was followed by a 2-1 during ESL pro League Season 21.

Team Vitality vs The MongolZ betting odds snapshot

Team Vitality is a prohibitive betting favorite for its playoffs match against The MongolZ. The moneylines on the teams stand at 1.11 against 6.5. The bookies clearly don’t think much of The MongolZ’s chances here.

Team Vitality vs The MongolZ betting picks & predictions

Core picks

• The MongolZ +1.5 map handicap (2.51)
  • The MongolZ have generally put up more of a fight against Vitality than most teams, so a 2.51 line on them winning one map is a decent value
• Vitality wins 2-1 (3.61)
  • This aligns with what’s mentioned above but offers a greater reward if Vitality wins, which is probably what will happen

Prediction

Team Vitality should be able to take a decisive win over The MongoLZ to secure a spot in IEM Melbourne’s finals. The MongolZ has rebounded well in IEM Melbourne, but this just isn’t an ideal matchup for them. Vitality is too hot right now to pick against.

Think you know who will win?